Unicorns and sarcasm
Scoring rules: Louis's Modified
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Click here for more information on odds of winning, best possible finish, and the other statistics in the table below.
Final Four scenarios
Note that the probabilities here may not be exactly consistent with the probabilities in the full standings table below, because they're calculated using two different methods.
The numbers here should be more accurate.
Select a scenario:
UConn over Purdue
Probability: 100%
Top finishers:
1. Tom Throop: 155.5 points
2. Reshma Mahendra : 138.5 points
3. Wieke de Boer: 136.5 points
Full standings
Rank
Name
Rd 1
Rd 2
Rd 3
Rd 4
Rd 5
Rd 6
TOTAL
Best Possible Score
Projected Score
Possible Finish
Odds Of Winning
Champion Pick
Reg.
Bon.
Reg.
Bon.
Reg.
Bon.
Reg.
Bon.
Reg.
Bon.
Reg.
Bon.
THEORETICAL
OBSERVED
BEST
WORST
1
Tom Throop
24
4.0
26
4.0
16
1.5
16
0.0
32
0.0
32
0.0
155.5
155
155
156
1st
1st
100%
UConn
2
Reshma Mahendra
19
8.5
18
1.0
12
0.0
16
0.0
32
0.0
32
0.0
138.5
138
138
139
2nd
2nd
0%
UConn
3
Wieke de Boer
21
11.0
24
0.0
12
4.5
16
0.0
16
0.0
32
0.0
136.5
136
136
137
3rd
3rd
0%
UConn
4
Barbara landis
23
6.5
24
0.0
16
1.5
16
0.0
16
0.0
32
0.0
135.0
135
135
135
4th
4th
0%
UConn
5
Stella Woodbury
20
7.5
22
3.0
16
1.5
8
0.0
16
0.0
32
0.0
126.0
126
126
126
5th
5th
0%
UConn
6
Shannon D Smith
21
10.0
18
1.0
16
0.0
24
0.0
32
0.0
0
0.0
122.0
122
122
122
6th
6th
0%
Purdue
7
Josiah Drewry
24
10.5
20
1.0
8
0.0
8
0.0
16
0.0
32
0.0
119.5
119
119
120
7th
7th
0%
UConn
8
Jim Hale
24
7.5
20
0.0
16
1.5
16
0.0
32
0.0
0
0.0
117.0
117
117
117
8th
8th
0%
Purdue
9
Geoffrey O'Gara
22
10.0
16
0.0
12
0.0
8
0.0
16
0.0
32
0.0
116.0
116
116
116
9th
9th
0%
UConn
10
Alice Perdue
21
6.5
24
1.0
16
13.5
16
0.0
16
0.0
0
0.0
114.0
114
114
114
10th
10th
0%
Michigan St.
11
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24
9.5
24
0.0
20
0.0
16
0.0
16
0.0
0
0.0
109.5
109
109
110
11th
11th
0%
Houston
12
Luka D'Irish
22
10.0
18
1.0
12
13.5
16
0.0
16
0.0
0
0.0
108.5
108
108
109
12th
12th
0%
Houston
13
Sparkingly Surprise
26
26.0
14
0.0
12
13.5
16
0.0
0
0.0
0
0.0
107.5
107
107
108
13th
13th
0%
NC State
14
Gabby M
21
2.5
16
0.0
12
1.5
16
0.0
32
0.0
0
0.0
101.0
101
101
101
14th
14th
0%
Purdue
14
Brooklyn S
24
12.0
24
1.0
8
0.0
16
0.0
16
0.0
0
0.0
101.0
101
101
101
14th
14th
0%
Arizona
16
Shannon D Smith (#2)
25
6.0
24
0.0
12
1.5
16
0.0
16
0.0
0
0.0
100.5
100
100
101
16th
16th
0%
Purdue
17
Alok Sahgal
25
7.5
26
0.0
8
0.0
16
0.0
16
0.0
0
0.0
98.5
98
98
99
17th
17th
0%
N. Carolina
18
Genya O'Gara (#2)
22
5.0
24
1.0
12
1.5
16
0.0
16
0.0
0
0.0
97.5
97
97
98
18th
18th
0%
Purdue
19
Chagai Mendelson
21
14.0
22
0.0
8
6.0
8
0.0
16
0.0
0
0.0
95.0
95
95
95
19th
19th
0%
San Diego St.
20
Josh Brodesky (#2)
22
18.5
20
0.0
20
6.0
8
0.0
0
0.0
0
0.0
94.5
94
94
95
20th
20th
0%
Arizona
21
Megan Mogan
21
6.0
24
4.0
24
4.5
8
0.0
0
0.0
0
0.0
91.5
91
91
92
21st
21st
0%
Arizona
22
Barbara landis (#2)
26
7.5
26
1.0
16
4.5
8
0.0
0
0.0
0
0.0
89.0
89
89
89
22nd
22nd
0%
N. Carolina
22
Happy Times
23
5.0
24
1.0
12
0.0
8
0.0
16
0.0
0
0.0
89.0
89
89
89
22nd
22nd
0%
Purdue
22
Rosie O'Gara
20
5.0
20
0.0
12
0.0
16
0.0
16
0.0
0
0.0
89.0
89
89
89
22nd
22nd
0%
Houston
25
Centaurs and Sorrow
26
8.5
24
0.0
12
1.5
16
0.0
0
0.0
0
0.0
88.0
88
88
88
25th
25th
0%
N. Carolina
26
Josh Brodesky
22
8.5
20
1.0
12
0.0
8
0.0
16
0.0
0
0.0
87.5
87
87
88
26th
26th
0%
Houston
27
David N Woodbury
21
10.0
20
0.0
12
0.0
8
0.0
16
0.0
0
0.0
87.0
87
87
87
27th
27th
0%
Iowa St.
28
Alejandro Moņaho
25
5.0
22
1.0
8
0.0
8
0.0
16
0.0
0
0.0
85.0
85
85
85
28th
28th
0%
Houston
29
Jimmy Jackson (Casden)
19
11.0
16
0.0
8
13.5
16
0.0
0
0.0
0
0.0
83.5
83
83
84
29th
29th
0%
N. Carolina
30
Richard Skarzenski
21
0.0
26
1.0
16
1.5
16
0.0
0
0.0
0
0.0
81.5
81
81
82
30th
30th
0%
Kentucky
31
Jon Scott
24
9.5
16
0.0
8
4.5
16
0.0
0
0.0
0
0.0
78.0
78
78
78
31st
31st
0%
Houston
31
Michael Lang
24
6.0
20
0.0
12
0.0
16
0.0
0
0.0
0
0.0
78.0
78
78
78
31st
31st
0%
Houston
33
Andrea Fowler
23
2.5
22
4.0
12
0.0
8
0.0
0
0.0
0
0.0
71.5
71
71
72
33rd
33rd
0%
N. Carolina
34
Dan Whipp
21
4.0
22
1.0
8
4.5
8
0.0
0
0.0
0
0.0
68.5
68
68
69
34th
34th
0%
Arizona
35
Josiah Drewry (#2)
16
4.0
16
0.0
8
0.0
8
0.0
16
0.0
0
0.0
68.0
68
68
68
35th
35th
0%
Purdue
36
Genya O'Gara
23
8.5
24
0.0
8
1.5
0
0.0
0
0.0
0
0.0
65.0
65
65
65
36th
36th
0%
N. Carolina
37
Mermaids and Sincerity
23
6.5
18
0.0
12
4.5
0
0.0
0
0.0
0
0.0
64.0
64
64
64
37th
37th
0%
Marquette
38
Esther Gyory
17
8.5
16
3.0
16
0.0
0
0.0
0
0.0
0
0.0
60.5
60
60
61
38th
38th
0%
Kansas
39
Jodi Vander Ploeg
24
7.5
18
1.0
8
0.0
0
0.0
0
0.0
0
0.0
58.5
58
58
59
39th
39th
0%
Arizona