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Madness2026
Scoring rules: Louis's Rules (2026)
Entries that have not yet been approved by the pool owner are shown in italics.
Click here for more information on odds of winning, best possible finish, and the other statistics in the table below.
Final Four scenarios
Note that the probabilities here may not be exactly consistent with the probabilities in the full standings table below, because they're calculated using two different methods. The numbers here should be more accurate.
Select a scenario:
Probability: 100%
Top finishers:
1. Olivia Eaton: 106.5 points
2. Mike Fisher: 103.5 points
3. gay l boyce: 88.0 points
4. Lisa Rodgers: 86.5 points
5. Gwyn Harkness : 81.0 points
5. Mike Overbeck: 81.0 points
Full standings
| Rank | Name | Rd 1 | Rd 2 | Rd 3 | Rd 4 | Rd 5 | Rd 6 | TOTAL | Best Possible Score | Projected Score |
Possible Finish | Odds Of Winning |
Odds Of Last Place |
Champion Pick |
||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reg. | Bon. | Reg. | Bon. | Reg. | Bon. | Reg. | Bon. | Reg. | Bon. | Reg. | Bon. | THEORETICAL | OBSERVED | BEST | WORST | |||||||
| 1 | Olivia Eaton | 20 | 3.5 | 16 | 3.0 | 8 | 0.0 | 8 | 0.0 | 16 | 0.0 | 32 | 0.0 | 106.5 | 106 | 106 | 107 | 1st | 1st | 100% | 0% | Michigan |
| 2 | Mike Fisher | 26 | 1.5 | 24 | 0.0 | 20 | 0.0 | 16 | 0.0 | 16 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 103.5 | 103 | 103 | 104 | 2nd | 2nd | 0% | 0% | Duke |
| 3 | gay l boyce | 26 | 4.0 | 14 | 8.0 | 12 | 0.0 | 8 | 0.0 | 16 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 88.0 | 88 | 88 | 88 | 3rd | 3rd | 0% | 0% | Duke |
| 4 | Lisa Rodgers | 27 | 2.5 | 24 | 1.0 | 16 | 0.0 | 16 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 86.5 | 86 | 86 | 87 | 4th | 4th | 0% | 0% | Houston |
| 5 | Mike Overbeck | 28 | 4.0 | 20 | 1.0 | 20 | 0.0 | 8 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 81.0 | 81 | 81 | 81 | 5th | 5th | 0% | 0% | Arizona |
| 5 | Gwyn Harkness | 26 | 2.5 | 18 | 1.0 | 16 | 1.5 | 16 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 81.0 | 81 | 81 | 81 | 5th | 5th | 0% | 0% | Duke |
| 7 | Hoop, There It Is! (Tanya) | 26 | 4.0 | 18 | 8.0 | 16 | 0.0 | 8 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 80.0 | 80 | 80 | 80 | 7th | 7th | 0% | 0% | Virginia |
| 8 | Laura Hatfield | 27 | 6.5 | 20 | 1.0 | 12 | 0.0 | 8 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 74.5 | 74 | 74 | 75 | 8th | 8th | 0% | 0% | Arizona |
| 9 | Lisa Harkness | 24 | 2.5 | 26 | 1.0 | 12 | 0.0 | 8 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 73.5 | 73 | 73 | 74 | 9th | 9th | 0% | 0% | Houston |
| 10 | Julia Overbeck | 23 | 0.0 | 24 | 1.0 | 16 | 0.0 | 8 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 72.0 | 72 | 72 | 72 | 10th | 10th | 0% | 0% | Duke |
| 11 | Todd Eaton | 26 | 1.5 | 18 | 0.0 | 16 | 0.0 | 8 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 69.5 | 69 | 69 | 70 | 11th | 11th | 0% | 100% | Arizona |
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