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FSE March Madness 2026
Scoring rules: Louis's Rules (2026)
Entries that have not yet been approved by the pool owner are shown in italics.
Click here for more information on odds of winning, best possible finish, and the other statistics in the table below.
Final Four scenarios
Note that the probabilities here may not be exactly consistent with the probabilities in the full standings table below, because they're calculated using two different methods. The numbers here should be more accurate.
Select a scenario:
Probability: 100%
Top finishers:
1. Roz Naylor: 123.5 points
2. Jen Burney: 116.0 points
3. Emmett Reynier: 114.0 points
4. Sonal Singh: 104.0 points
5. Richard Lee: 96.5 points
Full standings
| Rank | Name | Rd 1 | Rd 2 | Rd 3 | Rd 4 | Rd 5 | Rd 6 | TOTAL | Best Possible Score | Projected Score |
Possible Finish | Odds Of Winning |
Odds Of Last Place |
Champion Pick |
||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reg. | Bon. | Reg. | Bon. | Reg. | Bon. | Reg. | Bon. | Reg. | Bon. | Reg. | Bon. | THEORETICAL | OBSERVED | BEST | WORST | |||||||
| 1 | Roz Naylor | 19 | 0.0 | 22 | 1.0 | 16 | 1.5 | 16 | 0.0 | 16 | 0.0 | 32 | 0.0 | 123.5 | 123 | 123 | 124 | 1st | 1st | 100% | 0% | Michigan |
| 2 | Jen Burney | 23 | 0.0 | 24 | 1.0 | 12 | 0.0 | 8 | 0.0 | 16 | 0.0 | 32 | 0.0 | 116.0 | 116 | 116 | 116 | 2nd | 2nd | 0% | 0% | Michigan |
| 3 | Emmett Reynier | 25 | 2.5 | 24 | 1.0 | 20 | 1.5 | 24 | 0.0 | 16 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 114.0 | 114 | 114 | 114 | 3rd | 3rd | 0% | 0% | Duke |
| 4 | Sonal Singh | 19 | 6.0 | 14 | 1.0 | 8 | 0.0 | 8 | 0.0 | 16 | 0.0 | 32 | 0.0 | 104.0 | 104 | 104 | 104 | 4th | 4th | 0% | 0% | Michigan |
| 5 | Richard Lee | 28 | 0.0 | 24 | 3.0 | 16 | 1.5 | 24 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 96.5 | 96 | 96 | 97 | 5th | 5th | 0% | 0% | Arizona |
| 6 | Sam Heft-Neal | 26 | 2.5 | 24 | 4.0 | 20 | 1.5 | 8 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 86.0 | 86 | 86 | 86 | 6th | 6th | 0% | 0% | Arizona |
| 6 | Karli Moore | 23 | 6.0 | 24 | 9.0 | 16 | 0.0 | 8 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 86.0 | 86 | 86 | 86 | 6th | 6th | 0% | 0% | Houston |
| 8 | Stephannie Lobell | 26 | 0.0 | 22 | 1.0 | 16 | 0.0 | 16 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 81.0 | 81 | 81 | 81 | 8th | 8th | 0% | 0% | Duke |
| 9 | Andrew Wilson | 25 | 0.0 | 22 | 1.0 | 20 | 0.0 | 8 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 76.0 | 76 | 76 | 76 | 9th | 9th | 0% | 0% | Duke |
| 10 | David lobell | 18 | 0.0 | 16 | 1.0 | 12 | 0.0 | 16 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 63.0 | 63 | 63 | 63 | 10th | 10th | 0% | 0% | Arizona |
| 11 | Tina Bardot | 18 | 2.5 | 16 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 36.5 | 36 | 36 | 37 | 11th | 11th | 0% | 100% | Michigan St. |
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