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Scoring rules: Louis's Rules (2026)

Entries that have not yet been approved by the pool owner are shown in italics.

Click here for more information on odds of winning, best possible finish, and the other statistics in the table below.

Final Four scenarios

Note that the probabilities here may not be exactly consistent with the probabilities in the full standings table below, because they're calculated using two different methods. The numbers here should be more accurate.

Select a scenario:

Probability: 100%

Top finishers:

1. Shreyes Seshasai: 151.5 points
2. Julia Schultz: 144.5 points
2. Sarah Salenger: 144.5 points
4. Lydia Chitwood: 125.5 points
5. Matt Knapper: 116.0 points

Full standings

Rank Name Rd 1 Rd 2 Rd 3 Rd 4 Rd 5 Rd 6 TOTAL Best Possible Score Projected
Score
Possible Finish Odds Of
Winning
Odds Of
Last Place
Champion
Pick
Reg. Bon. Reg. Bon. Reg. Bon. Reg. Bon. Reg. Bon. Reg. Bon. THEORETICAL OBSERVED BEST WORST
1 Shreyes Seshasai 20 7.5 20 0.0 16 0.0 24 0.0 32 0.0 32 0.0 151.5 151 151 152 1st 1st 100% 0% Michigan
2 Julia Schultz 27 7.5 16 0.0 12 0.0 16 2.0 32 0.0 32 0.0 144.5 144 144 145 2nd 2nd 0% 0% Michigan
2 Sarah Salenger 22 1.5 18 1.0 20 0.0 16 2.0 32 0.0 32 0.0 144.5 144 144 145 2nd 2nd 0% 0% Michigan
4 Lydia Chitwood 23 1.5 20 1.0 16 0.0 16 0.0 16 0.0 32 0.0 125.5 125 125 126 4th 4th 0% 0% Michigan
5 Matt Knapper 23 0.0 24 1.0 12 0.0 8 0.0 16 0.0 32 0.0 116.0 116 116 116 5th 5th 0% 0% Michigan
6 Jennifer Yeaton 26 0.0 20 9.0 16 0.0 16 2.0 16 0.0 0 0.0 105.0 105 105 105 6th 6th 0% 0% Virginia
7 Eric Mayefsky 22 6.5 24 0.0 20 0.0 16 0.0 16 0.0 0 0.0 104.5 104 104 105 7th 7th 0% 0% Duke
8 Johannes F Fischer 26 4.0 22 1.0 16 0.0 16 0.0 16 0.0 0 0.0 101.0 101 101 101 8th 8th 0% 0% Florida
9 Juan Alvarado 24 0.0 24 0.0 20 0.0 16 0.0 16 0.0 0 0.0 100.0 100 100 100 9th 9th 0% 0% Duke
10 Ashley Ratigan 27 0.0 18 1.0 16 0.0 16 2.0 16 0.0 0 0.0 96.0 96 96 96 10th 10th 0% 0% UConn
11 Sanjana Thirumalai 26 1.5 20 0.0 16 0.0 16 0.0 16 0.0 0 0.0 95.5 95 95 96 11th 11th 0% 0% Houston
12 Nina Wornhoff 23 6.5 16 0.0 12 1.5 16 0.0 16 0.0 0 0.0 91.0 91 91 91 12th 12th 0% 0% Duke
13 Abraham Epton 20 4.0 16 0.0 12 1.5 16 0.0 16 0.0 0 0.0 85.5 85 85 86 13th 13th 0% 0% Illinois
14 Amy Hailes 24 0.0 24 0.0 20 0.0 16 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 84.0 84 84 84 14th 14th 0% 0% Duke
15 Louis Eisenberg 22 7.5 18 0.0 12 0.0 24 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 83.5 83 83 84 15th 15th 0% 0% Arizona
16 Alexis Salcedo 24 2.5 16 0.0 16 0.0 8 0.0 16 0.0 0 0.0 82.5 82 82 83 16th 16th 0% 0% Duke
17 Nina Safane 24 4.0 18 9.0 12 0.0 8 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 75.0 75 75 75 17th 17th 0% 0% Arizona
18 Brian Guggenheimer 24 5.0 22 3.0 12 0.0 8 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 74.0 74 74 74 18th 18th 0% 0% Florida
19 Grace Scoggin 25 2.5 16 19.0 8 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 70.5 70 70 71 19th 19th 0% 0% Texas
20 Aaron Bly 25 4.0 20 0.0 8 0.0 8 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 65.0 65 65 65 20th 20th 0% 0% Iowa St.
21 Justine Hong 21 0.0 20 0.0 12 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 53.0 53 53 53 21st 21st 0% 0% Duke
22 Rosalind Wills 18 7.5 8 0.0 4 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 37.5 37 37 38 22nd 22nd 0% 0% Siena
23 Will Durney 15 7.5 8 0.0 4 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 34.5 34 34 35 23rd 23rd 0% 100% Alabama



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