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Chicago Madness

Scoring rules: Louis's Rules (2025 version)

Entries that have not yet been approved by the pool owner are shown in italics.

Click here for more information on odds of winning, best possible finish, and the other statistics in the table below.

Final Four scenarios

Note that the probabilities here may not be exactly consistent with the probabilities in the full standings table below, because they're calculated using two different methods. The numbers here should be more accurate.

Select a scenario:

Probability: 100%

Top finishers:

1. Avery Burrell: 106.5 points
2. Keeley Utz: 92.0 points
3. Michael Mitchell: 91.5 points
4. Rose Baldonado: 85.0 points
5. Shane Tarp: 75.0 points

Full standings

Rank Name Rd 1 Rd 2 Rd 3 Rd 4 Rd 5 Rd 6 TOTAL Best Possible Score Projected
Score
Possible Finish Odds Of
Winning
Champion
Pick
Reg. Bon. Reg. Bon. Reg. Bon. Reg. Bon. Reg. Bon. Reg. Bon. THEORETICAL OBSERVED BEST WORST
1 Avery Burrell 27 7.5 20 0.0 28 0.0 24 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 106.5 106 106 107 1st 1st 100% Mich. St.
2 Keeley Utz 20 0.0 20 0.0 28 0.0 24 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 92.0 92 92 92 2nd 2nd 0% Mich. St.
3 Michael Mitchell 22 1.5 20 0.0 16 0.0 16 0.0 16 0.0 0 0.0 91.5 91 91 92 3rd 3rd 0% St. John's
4 Rose Baldonado 25 3.0 20 1.0 20 0.0 16 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 85.0 85 85 85 4th 4th 0% St. John's
5 Shane Tarp 20 0.0 20 3.0 24 0.0 8 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 75.0 75 75 75 5th 5th 0% Duke
6 Max Gerdes 21 1.5 20 1.0 16 0.0 8 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 67.5 67 67 68 6th 6th 0% Duke
7 Emma Simmons 24 3.5 16 4.0 8 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 55.5 55 55 56 7th 7th 0% Mich. St.
8 Kylie Lenz 23 7.5 6 0.0 4 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 40.5 40 40 41 8th 8th 0% Gonzaga



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